House leaders are looking over Gov. John Kasichs budget proposal, which includes a proposed tax increase on oil and gas drilling. And the governor is getting some support from an unlikely source. They understand the business communitythey understand the value of the product and they also understand the needs in eastern Ohio, says Wendy Patton Thats a rare statement from Wendy Patton of Policy Matters Ohio about Gov. John Kasichs plans to hike the tax on oil and natural gas drillers. In factPolicy Matters has not been encouraged by any of his severance tax proposalsuntil now. The severance tax is a tax on oil and gas extracted from Ohios shale using hydraulic fracturingalso known as fracking. Patton says Kasichs scheme to raise the tax to 6.5% isas she describesa self-respecting rate. He recognizes the value of the commodity that we have just as industry is recognizing that value and he is proposing a severance tax rate that is within the range of those of major producing states, said Patton. The governors office projects this would generate about $325 million in the next two fiscal years. The 6.5% number is pretty extreme compared to proposed rates in the past. Last year the governors office was looking for a 2.75% tax. The House passed its own tax increase of only 2.5%and it died in the Senate. The real issue here is the timing the industry as a whole is suffering, says Shawn Bennett, the new executive vice president for the Ohio Oil and Gas Association. He says 6.5% is big no matter whatbut its especially high considering the steep drop in the price at which oil and gas is being sold in the marketplace. Bennett says drillers in Ohio are already cutting budgets, proposing layoffs and slowing down their activity. He says a higher severance tax will take it one step further in discouraging development. As prices decrease and taxes increase you shrink the amount of economics that are available in the play so youre taking what was once 3,800 square miles and maybe shrinking it down to 15 because it all depends on what the economics of that well is going to be, Bennett says. When asked about the possibility of repressing investment, Patton referenced a response from Ohios budget director Tim Keen, who compared the situation to drilling in Alaska, where the severance tax rate is at least 25%. This has not discouraged the industrythe industry drills where the commodity is plentiful. Its driven by prices of the commodityits not driven by state and local tax rates, explained Patton. But Bennett says policymakers cannot do an apples-to-apples comparison when it comes to matching Ohios drilling economics to other states. He saysfor examplethe rock and production capabilities in Ohio are just some major differences to other oil and gas producing states. In Kasichs plan20% of the revenue would go back to the local communities. Bennett counters by arguing that communities will end up losing more than they gain by this tax because of his claim of discouraged investment. He says they already get more from other taxes on the industry. Is the promise of getting 20% of whatever that severance tax may be or what theyre receiving in bed tax, increased income tax, increased sales tax as well as ad valorem tax gonna probably outweigh the benefit that theyre getting from an increased severance tax, Bennett explained. Patton does have her reservations with the plan as well. Policy Matters would like to see a higher percentage of that revenue going back to the local level. She also says the state could do more with that money instead of putting it towards an income tax cut. Kasich says its important to continue cutting the income tax and bring it closer to a rate of 3%. However he denies that his entire plan hinges on passing this severance tax as is. The closer we get into the threes the better were gonna feel about things but there isnt enormous amount of revenues that if they kill that the rest of its gone. No, said Kasich. The House finance committee is now looking over the plan. The full chamber hopes to pass a budget and send it to the Senate by the end of April. Andy Chow Ohio Public Radio Statehouse News Bureau.